Hey all, I seem to have been caught in the one and only lie I will tell in this wolf game. I'll fess up to it, I didn't come straight home from work and post, I took a long nap instead. In my defense today totally sucked.
For real though, for right now I'm just going to reply to a bunch of comments that caught my eye as I caught up. They will contain most of my thoughts, comments, and questions.
Historically woodsman/hunter type roles are limited use. It would be insane that a woodsman could kill freely every night, it would totally break the game. It would also be very risky to use such a limited role on night one unless someone had hard info to act on. If there is a third party at war with the infiltrators that would be another thing entirely. That could also potentially explain the high distribution of roles.
A medic that reveals roles the same day would potentially be very powerful. If there is a GA we need to try and get these two together, because even if we had a GA that does a role lockdown that theoretically would be bypassed during a day scan. I have no info to prove that, but based on how previous games have worked that would make the most sense. If we do have a medic that can do a day scan I'd love to see Arks alignment.
So just to be clear here are you saying you were locked down last night? Did you attempt you use a role and get blocked? Do you have any additional info on this like what you attempted to do in the night?
Enginish vouched for TA. He said that based on the speed of his reply and willingness to create randomizing elements he seemed human to Enginish. Since Enginish trusted him to some degree and Enginish has now been proven to be human I'm willing to go out on a bit of a limb for him right now.
That's tricky. Obviously, I don't like being on the accused side of things, especially over something so benign. However, I don't really think a wolf would make such an aggressive character attack on day one because the inactives will basically kill themselves on day one. Lysk later texted me saying his goal was to gather reactions and I think I believe that. Lysk has always had an affinity for aggressive information gathering, he just never gets to do it for this long.
Here is the big question of the day. The way I see it there are 3 reasons the wolfs target would potentially target Enginish. I'll list them in order of potential likely hood.
1) He's historically a very skilled and very active player. He represents a clear threat to the wolfs for one reason or another and they want to start eliminating skilled players first. This has the potential side benefit of shifting attention to Lysk and myself because of our IRL relationship.
2) RNG. The wolfs have used randomized lists to find targets before to help them remain anonymous, and in this case, Enginish wound up as the first RNG kill. However, we might not know if this is true until the game is over.
3) Enginish did reveal to me he had a role, but he didn't tell me what it was. He could have potentially told the wrong person the wrong details of his role and it got him killed. However, I doubt this is the case because Enginish was very guarded about his role and it would have taken something big for him to share role info.
Enginish told me the exact same theory last night almost verbatim, and so I can only assume that the two of you developed this theory together. Ark and I were speaking loosely since day one, he told me he had a role but did not share details with me. Even still I wasn't very suspicious of Ark. I think it's likely he was either killed because of his role or because a woodsman type had the same theory as you. There is also the potential for vampires but I think we are all still collectively mulling that one over.
So that's where I'm at right now. I'll be on for a while tonight and then I work almost all day tomorrow. I want to try and reply as much as I can.