Because I have eyes Matt and the ability to sniff out a failing project by following the clues, such as the desperate Coutts bank loan. No big business goes to Coutts unless they have been turned down everywhere else and are desperate. This came from my friend who works for a big bank in the City of London.
DS just aided in coming to that decision last month. I'd been wrestling with the idea from late 2016 right up until asking for the refund, with my last ship purchase in early 2016. DS gets an awful lot of insider info now from good sources, better than he did 12 months or so ago. A lot can be fake, but also a lot appears to pan out.
If the project ever releases the game I backed in 2012/13, I'll buy it for sure along with DLC passes for life. But the signs are bad now, real bad this long into development and to have so little to show for it game wise. A game engine that falls over when approaching 16-24 max players. A massive multilayer game that still after 6 years of development cannot hold more than 24 players is a bad bad sign. One or two medium to large ships could max out the games player count.
I watched the streams today and they were terrible. If this is all being done so that CR's big stage event can reveal some hidden highly advanced build of the game, then I might eat my words. But I seriously doubt it.
I would love to be proved wrong, I really would, but as I said above I have eyes and a keen sense of sniffing out bullshit and lies. And that's why I went ahead and got my refund. And put the money towards far better things like my pets vet bills and saving for a new computer to play I:B.